Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.284443 1.448689 1.628170 1.839225 2.081076 2.350092 2.672733
2026-01-18 1.057097 1.279151 1.541402 1.875470 2.291817 2.796338 3.458139
2026-01-25 0.878484 1.124212 1.433061 1.852943 2.413796 3.143983 4.177799
2026-02-01 0.730158 0.977826 1.305345 1.775220 2.440313 3.360474 4.751630
2026-02-08 0.627610 0.873770 1.213823 1.724998 2.486281 3.597813 5.380267
2026-02-15 0.551328 0.794088 1.142560 1.688532 2.539470 3.843858 6.051254
2026-02-22 0.513217 0.763368 1.135796 1.742937 2.731766 4.321245 7.157806
2026-03-01 0.472800 0.723610 1.109350 1.761003 2.865387 4.719185 8.193346
2026-03-08 0.426652 0.669409 1.053518 1.723072 2.898487 4.949283 8.965872
2026-03-15 0.386028 0.619553 0.998777 1.679166 2.913226 5.145399 9.702382
2026-03-22 0.372055 0.611763 1.012018 1.752832 3.144934 5.764189 11.361619
2026-03-29 0.356347 0.599226 1.015404 1.808424 3.349125 6.358272 13.076329
2026-04-05 0.337718 0.581030 1.009123 1.849611 3.539824 6.971987 14.994965
2026-04-12 0.317898 0.558896 0.993703 1.872122 3.698159 7.548520 16.962634
2026-04-19 0.293388 0.525838 0.954732 1.843715 3.747857 7.902787 18.488622
2026-04-26 0.265306 0.483491 0.893964 1.763981 3.676969 7.979005 19.347581
2026-05-03 0.243578 0.451284 0.849664 1.713090 3.662147 8.180700 20.573239
2026-05-10 0.225625 0.424800 0.814090 1.676472 3.674257 8.447562 22.033286
2026-05-17 0.218577 0.419192 0.819889 1.730252 3.903580 9.282459 25.274933
2026-05-24 0.208562 0.406668 0.810163 1.748087 4.049350 9.931575 28.140078
2026-05-31 0.194392 0.384394 0.777848 1.710428 4.052821 10.208726 29.942330
2026-06-07 0.180958 0.362578 0.744586 1.666864 4.035463 10.427267 31.616543
2026-06-14 0.178033 0.362819 0.759387 1.739923 4.332071 11.573791 36.667219